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Archive for August, 2007

How the Government Mandates Inflation

Posted by kingkull on August 8, 2007

or, “How the Government legislates Environmentally stupid laws and makes you poorer at the same time”:

The EnergyStar fridge costs $1329 and uses $41 of electricity per year while the conventional one costs $1029 and uses $48 per year. It would take about 43 years of energy savings to make up for the difference in cost between these two refrigerators. Many consumers might not think that’s such a good deal.”

This green lobby is out of control.  Why micro-manage production?  If, in Congress’ omnipotent view, all Americans should pay more for power, why don’t they just increase the price of energy?  The market will find the right payback for that, and Congress will have more money to fritter away, I mean, to explore more energy alternatives.

These laws are senseless, regressive and administratively horrendous for life and living.

Posted in Energy, Global warming, Politics, Taxes | Leave a Comment »

Remember What They Did to Galileo?

Posted by kingkull on August 8, 2007

Newsweek equates global warming skeptics with Holocaust deniers and accuses reputable scientists of being paid to create confusion in the face of consensus.  Read the review by Investors’ Business Daily.  It’s worth reading, unlike the Newsweek article.

UPDATE:

Aug. 20-27, 2007 issue – We in the news business often enlist in moral crusades. Global warming is among the latest. Unfortunately, self-righteous indignation can undermine good journalism. Last week’s NEWSWEEK cover story on global warming is a sobering reminder. It’s an object lesson of how viewing the world as “good guys vs. bad guys” can lead to a vast oversimplification of a messy story.

[Samuelson: A Different View of Global Warming - Newsweek Robert Samuelson - MSNBC.com]

Clearly an attempt to apologize:

Against these real-world pressures, NEWSWEEK’s “denial machine” is a peripheral and highly contrived story. NEWSWEEK implied, for example, that ExxonMobil used a think tank to pay academics to criticize global-warming science. Actually, this accusation was long ago discredited, and NEWSWEEK shouldn’t have lent it respectability. (The company says it knew nothing of the global-warming grant, which involved issues of climate modeling. And its 2006 contribution to the think tank, the American Enterprise Institute, was small: $240,000 out of a $28 million budget.) [Samuelson: A Different View of Global Warming - Newsweek Robert Samuelson - MSNBC.com]

As honest a review from the Left Wing journalism as I’ve seen.  But still in ultimate denial.

 

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Posted in Global warming | 1 Comment »

The Battle in Iraq

Posted by kingkull on August 8, 2007

It’s not a war; it’s a battle.

Similarly, we are fighting in Iraq a battle, one of many we have or will fight in the War on Terror. Play in your mind with the difference that concept battle makes in evaluating the struggle there over treating it as a war. To claim it is a war localizes it, raises questions of why we are there, and suggests we should get out and leave it to the Iraqi’s to settle. But, if we consider it a battle, then….

Posted in Iraq, Terrorism | 1 Comment »

Is Democratic Competence Possible?

Posted by kingkull on August 8, 2007

Jeffrey Friedman is a senior fellow of the Institute for the Advancement of the Social Sciences, Boston University.

If you’re interested in debating forms of government, he wrote an interesting article on the connundrum of elected structures:

ABSTRACT : “The Nature of Belief Systems” sets forth a Hobson’s choice between rule by the politically ignorant masses and rule by the ideologically constrained—which is to say, the doctrinaire—elites. On the one hand, lacking comprehensive cognitive structures, such as ideological “belief systems,” with which to understand politics, most people learn distressingly little about it. On the other hand, a spiral of conviction seems to make it difficult for the highly informed few to see any aspects of politics but those that confirm the cognitive structures that organize their political perceptions.This is a troubling situation for any consequentialist democratic political theory, according to which what is crucial is the electorate’s (and subsidiary decision makers’) ability to make informed policy judgments, not their possession of willful but uninformed political “attitudes.” Any political theorist who does not take democracy to be an end in itself (regardless of its consequences) should be concerned about Converse’s findings.

In a review titled, “Is Voter Ignorance killing Democracy?” Salon makes further comments on the ideas Friedman has illustrated.  They’re off the mark, as usual.

Nevertheless, it’s an age old issue; by necessity, we need to have governments, or in the case of companies, we need managers, but we wish the ‘managers’ wouldn’t be so dumb.  But especially in issues of government, it is the nature of the discussions both by the politicians and the media, that are inappropriate, not the inteligence of the voters.  The public has never been wiser.

To illustrate, I do not need to understand computer systems to sit on the Board of Directors of a company.  Neither do I need to have a vast understanding of law, or financial instruments, or the latest in human resource theory.  But I do want to be afforded a good honest, and open debate of goals and direction, and be reasonably assured of where it is you and your party are meaning to go if we grant you public office.  For my purpose, and leaning towards a decidely libertarian, free market approach, I would humbly suggest you compare yourselves to the Constitution, and take a more active interest as politicians to amend it (rather than reading weird interpretations into it that are clearly not there) so that we can all have clearer understandings of where we’re going and better live the product of goal and strategy papers in our lives.

So I don’t think we need smarter voters.  I think we need smarter politicians with vision.  And smarter journalists.  Both have continued to sink to new lows over the last 200 years, and have immeasurably fouled the discussion in the process.  As a result we voters are frustrated beyond measure, and dearly wish to throw the whole lot of them out.

Posted in Law, Politics | Leave a Comment »

The CIA Follies

Posted by kingkull on August 8, 2007

The CIA is fundamentally broken by almost any measure:

Picture a large and very important federal agency. It happens to conduct highly specialized work that requires close and attentive management. One of its basic assignments, for example, is to collect intelligence. Toward that end, it relies on twelve major stations from which it gathers data. The information thus assembled has to be reliable, meaning that those who collect it, and those who organize the collection process, must be both trustworthy and highly trained. And once the intelligence is gathered, it has to be analyzed. This process, too, requires a high degree of organization, and the men and women who engage in it must be top experts in their field. Their final product, hugely influential, and released to the outside world only at specified intervals, is by necessity wrapped in secrecy. Indeed, unauthorized disclosure is punishable by law.

The organization he’s talking about?  The Federal Reserve.  Read the whole thing.  Imagine an almost limitless technological budget, but in many ways less informative than the Internet.  Imagine a bureaucracy so byzantine no one knows what’s happening.  Imagine a culture where state top secret information is now commonly leaked to the press.  Imagine a spy agency with less than 30% of their agents in the field.  Imagine that the CIA says it will take at least 10 years to put it house in order to counter the ‘terrorist’ threat.

Related reading: When Mohammed Atta landed in the US, CIA’s Tenet was celebrating gay pride

Congress long ago sowed the seeds of the CIA’s destruction as an institution; not having clear goals is its foundational issue.  But this is a common mistake made by governments and its journalistic reporters; talking and legislating how things are done rather than debating and reviewing the Objectives (What you want) in the first place.  Businesses that take this approach live a short life, and people that live their personal lives in this way remain vaguely unhappy and unfulfilled.  Congress’s role should be to give them goals and the tools to let them win, along with only general lines they are not able to cross.  Micro-managing beyond these boundaries is inappropriate and inefficient.  Perhaps most importantly, they are almost singularly unqualified and ill suited as politicians (public servants with an established elective agenda, and huge incentives to sensationalize and publicize) to do so.

Once last thought: since bureaucracy in any institution, whether government or large business, or charity, inevitably slows its endeavors down, thwarts innovation, and rewards the status quo in its Associates, why would further bureaucracy as suggested by the 9/11 commission and implemented by Bush and Congress, have any chance of ‘fixing’ anything?

Posted in CIA, Politics, Productivity | Leave a Comment »

Free Trade is Good. Protectionism is bad.

Posted by kingkull on August 1, 2007

The Club for Growth sponsored 1,028 economists from all 50 states to pressure congress not to enact protectionist policies against China.  Democrats have been rattling their sabers for months now with any number of suicidal thoughts on trade.  Not only is the trade helpful to both countries, but China buys billions of dollars of low interest treasuries with their American dollars, keeping rates low.  Who in their right mind would want to stop either of those things?   Here’s the 2007 petition (PDF) as it ran in the Wall Street Journal this morning.  It is deliberately reminiscent of the 1930 petition (PDF) also signed by 1,028 economists as it ran in the New York Times, in hopes of dissuading the government from signing the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act.  The 1930’s petition was not successful and the resulting tariffs drove the nation into depression. 

PETITION

 Concerning Protectionist Policies Against China

We, the undersigned, have serious concerns about the recent protectionist sentiments coming from Congress, especially with regards to China. By the end of this year, China will most likely be the United States’ second largest trading partner. Over the past six years, total trade between the two countries has soared, growing from $116 billion in 2000 to almost $343 billion in 2006. That’s an average growth rate of almost 20% a year. This marvelous growth has led to more affordable goods, higher productivity, strong job growth, and a higher standard of living for both countries. These economic benefits were made possible in large part because both China and the United States embraced freer trade. As economists, we understand the vital and beneficial role that free trade plays in the world economy. Conversely, we believe that barriers to free trade destroy wealth and benefit no one in the long run. Because of these fundamental economic principles, we sign this letter to advise Congress against imposing retaliatory trade measures against China. There is no foundation in economics that supports punitive tariffs. China currently supplies American consumers with inexpensive goods and low-interest rate loans. Retaliatory tariffs on China are tantamount to taxing ourselves as a punishment. Worse, such a move will likely encourage China to impose its own tariffs, increasing the possibility of a futile and harmful trade war. American consumers and businesses would pay the price for this senseless war through higher prices, worse jobs, and reduced economic growth. We urge Congress to discard any plans for increased protectionism, and instead urge lawmakers to work towards fostering stronger global economic ties through free trade.

I love it.  Congress would be beyond silly to go ahead now.  And I wonder what the reaction will be in The New York Times, after this incredibly silly article of a few days ago.  This story will be fun to watch.  Reason backed up by statistics and logic vs. alternate reality claptrap always provides great theater.  It’s like watching Hitchens debate Michael Moore.

Stay tuned.

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Posted in Economics, Free trade, Politics, Taxes | Leave a Comment »

Pettiness In and Out of Government

Posted by kingkull on August 1, 2007

For many us who must successfully get things accomplished in this world, following are the kinds of stories that makes it so difficult to remain positive and hopeful about our government these days.

Because it matters not a whit what you thought of the country entering the war in Iraq.  It matters not a whit what you think of Bush, or your own chances of becoming President.  If you are an elected official, it matters not a whit whether your vocal minority back home wants our military to turn tail and run.  The fact of the matter is that we are in a war, right now and right here.  And people from all over the world, especially Iraqis and Americans, are dying.  And we must figure out a way to end that war and resolve the conflict without millions of people dying.  We are truly and well in it now.  And if you can not make rational judgments about that, and can not even bare to hear the real facts on the ground to better make up your mind on future strategy and tactics, then you should absent yourself from all discussion.  Because you are a whining child, and your thoughts only frustrate and obfuscate the situation, and generally distract the rest of the folks who must work towards the solution.

This reported from Kansas City:

Washington — Kansas Rep. Nancy Boyda is defending her decision to step out of a hearing room last week while a retired Army general testified about U.S. progress in Iraq…

Boyda, a freshman Democrat from Topeka, said she left the House Armed Services Committee hearing on Friday for about 10 minutes during the testimony of retired Gen. Jack Keane…

“There was only so much that you could take until we in fact had to leave the room for a while,” Boyda said after she returned, according to a transcript of the hearing. “So I think I am back and maybe can articulate some things — after so much of the frustration of having to listen to what we listened to.”

Keane had testified that since the troop surge began, U.S. forces “are on the offensive and we have the momentum.” He also said that security has improved in every neighborhood and district in and around Baghdad, and that “cafés, pool halls, coffee houses that I visited are full of people.”

When Boyda returned to the hearing, she ridiculed Keane’s description of Iraq “as in some way or another that it’s a place that I might take the family for a vacation–things are going so well–those kinds of comments will in fact show up in the media and further divide this country instead of saying, ‘Here’s the reality of the problem.’ ”

By the way, if you are actually interested in exactly what Keane said, here’s an interview with him at NRO.  He seems fairly realistic and is both positive and negative.  In fact, two scholars from The Brookings Institute are also surprised with the change in Iraq, and say so in The New York Times.

The Wall Street Journal has more, commenting on the fact that a major party in Washington is actually invested in us losing the war.  They cite this story in the Washington Post in which House Majority Whip James Clyburn (D-S.C.) said Monday:

“that a strongly positive report on progress on Iraq by Army Gen. David Petraeus likely would split Democrats in the House and impede his party’s efforts to press for a timetable to end the war…

Many Democrats have anticipated that, at best, Petraeus and U.S. ambassador to Iraq Ryan Crocker would present a mixed analysis of the success of the current troop surge strategy, given continued violence in Baghdad. But of late there have been signs that the commander of U.S. forces might be preparing something more generally positive. Clyburn said that would be “a real big problem for us.”

The Claremont Institute recounts even more instances of politicians “exulting in misfortune.”  Hugh Hewitt has gone so far as to commemorate ‘The Nancy Boyda Award’ for everyone who denies good news about Iraq or twists it to their negative end.  I like this portion of his article best, when recounting his interview with Andrew Sullivan:

ODDLY ENOUGH, ANDREW SULLIVAN provides the perfect coda to our debut of the Nancy Boyda Award. Earlier today, Andrew was slightly miffled that I suggested that “the left and other anti-war figures like Andrew Sullivan have a lot invested in this war failing and failing miserably.” Andrew took delight when someone took my logic and inverted it, writing, “The right and other pro-war figures like Dean Barnett have a lot invested in this war succeeding and succeeding well.” Andrew commented with a portentous and approving “Hmmmmm.”

Probably unwittingly, Andrew has confirmed my theory that this war’s opponents have forgotten something basic and elemental: Every American, regardless of his party affiliation or political philosophy, has “a lot invested in this war succeeding and succeeding well.” Andrew Sullivan used to know that. Best to ask him why he’s forgotten it.”

Well said Hugh.  But it goes far beyond all of this now.  To see a war through the prism of partisan politics is to be party to a perspective of the most aggregious and petty.  To walk out on briefings of your government that are meant to aid you in making some of the most important decisions of a lifetime, much less a generation, is to back childishly away from your duty and responsibility as a representative of the United States and its people.  And you should be ashamed, and are not emotionally fit to lead our country. 

Posted in Iraq, Media, Politics | Leave a Comment »